Good morning Traders!
Another bearish candle yesterday and we are trapped, once again inside the large trading range from the end of March. 11500 is the trend defining level at the moment, a break below this could signal a drop to 11k but I expect to see a lot of support.
The current Dax setup on the daily or 4-hour chart looks to favour a test to the downside support again today. My first level to watch is the 11635 handle, the previous low from Monday/last Friday. If we manage to hold that handle then I suspect we can build higher from there.
I currently have 16 positions open and you can see the details by clicking here.
I am long the Dax at 11772 but my Nasdaq trades are the best open position performers at the moment. An additional six positions were closed today, but only one of those trades hit the profit target, the other five were stopped out for a loss. So a relatively poor day at around £400 down. I will continue to keep track of the performance of these signals.
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Dax Support & Analysis
|34 Hour EMA||11824||-46|
|200 Day EMA||10530||13|
Dax Potential Moves
If we draw a fib extension from the all time high couple of weeks ago with the most recent low of 116xx back up to the 12k level, it suggests a 100% extension could be 11334 and I would personally use this as a springboard to jump in.
The picture below suggests the we are going to really fall deeper down if we break that 11635 zone.
Both the 30 minute and the 4-hour channels are looking bearish and the daily pattern looks to threaten further bearish movement. I would not be surprised to see a gap lower on open and then a steady move back up again.
Still trapped inside the range from a few weeks back.